Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.002000 0.002181 0.002362 0.002555 0.002756 0.002958 0.003177
2025-02-02 0.001739 0.002017 0.002303 0.002616 0.002948 0.003290 0.003665
2025-02-09 0.001566 0.001920 0.002292 0.002708 0.003158 0.003626 0.004149
2025-02-16 0.001459 0.001877 0.002325 0.002835 0.003394 0.003983 0.004646
2025-02-23 0.001219 0.001666 0.002158 0.002730 0.003366 0.004045 0.004819
2025-03-02 0.001045 0.001516 0.002047 0.002674 0.003382 0.004147 0.005025
2025-03-09 0.000925 0.001419 0.001987 0.002669 0.003448 0.004298 0.005280
2025-03-16 0.000842 0.001359 0.001965 0.002703 0.003554 0.004488 0.005575
2025-03-23 0.000782 0.001322 0.001966 0.002759 0.003682 0.004701 0.005892
2025-03-30 0.000714 0.001270 0.001946 0.002787 0.003775 0.004872 0.006161
2025-04-06 0.000643 0.001208 0.001909 0.002793 0.003840 0.005009 0.006390
2025-04-13 0.000577 0.001149 0.001873 0.002797 0.003899 0.005138 0.006607
2025-04-20 0.000520 0.001100 0.001851 0.002819 0.003984 0.005301 0.006869
2025-04-27 0.000465 0.001051 0.001825 0.002837 0.004063 0.005457 0.007123
2025-05-04 0.000438 0.001040 0.001848 0.002912 0.004210 0.005690 0.007465
2025-05-11 0.000431 0.001058 0.001908 0.003034 0.004412 0.005987 0.007879
2025-05-18 0.000340 0.000939 0.001783 0.002922 0.004331 0.005954 0.007915
2025-05-25 0.000276 0.000858 0.001703 0.002863 0.004311 0.005991 0.008028
2025-06-01 0.000236 0.000810 0.001666 0.002857 0.004355 0.006100 0.008224
2025-06-08 0.000212 0.000786 0.001662 0.002892 0.004447 0.006266 0.008485
2025-06-15 0.000195 0.000775 0.001676 0.002950 0.004567 0.006464 0.008783
2025-06-22 0.000173 0.000751 0.001669 0.002978 0.004651 0.006619 0.009029
2025-06-29 0.000147 0.000716 0.001645 0.002985 0.004706 0.006738 0.009235